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Africa Cup of Nations · 2025 · 8,000 simulated tournaments

Morocco won the Africa Cup of Nations

The tournament is complete. The bracket below shows every tie as it was played.

The bracket

The knockout

Every tie, with the winner in bold. Shoot-out winners are marked (p).

Group by group

Chances of going through

The top 2 of each group and the 4 best third-placed teams go through.

Each group is simulated on its own with the remaining fixtures played 8,000 times from the teams’ attack and defence ratings. Ratings start from every CAF result in the last cycle — the previous qualifiers, the 2025 finals and the World Cup qualifiers — because six games is too few to rate a national team on. A shown 0% means it did not occur in the simulations, not that it is impossible.