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Where it stands

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying: 2 matchdays played, 4 to go

8 nations have won every game so far: Morocco, Ivory Coast, South Africa, DR Congo and 4 more. Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania are already through as hosts.

Africa · 2026/2027

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Group stage · the top 2 of each group qualify for AFCON 2027

Full breakdown3m ago

Grp. A

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Morocco*
2+46
96%
>99%
2
Gabon*
203
3%
62%
3
Niger*
2-13
1%
35%
4
Lesotho*
2-30
<1%
4%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. B

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Egypt
2+54
77%
98%
2
Angola
2+24
22%
90%
3
Malawi
2-13
2%
12%
4
South Sudan
2-60
<1%
<1%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. C

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Ivory Coast*
2+46
82%
>99%
2
Gambia
2+36
17%
89%
3
Somalia*
2-30
0%
<1%
4
Ghana
2-40
<1%
11%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. D

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
South Africa
2+66
89%
90%
2
Guinea*
203
10%
10%
3
KenyaHost*
2-11
<1%
100%
4
Eritrea
2-51
<1%
<1%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. E

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
DR Congo*
2+36
91%
99%
2
Zimbabwe
203
5%
59%
3
Equatorial Guinea*
2-13
3%
36%
4
Sierra Leone
2-20
<1%
6%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. F

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Benin
2+14
38%
84%
2
Burkina Faso*
2+14
56%
90%
3
Mauritania
2+13
6%
24%
4
Central African Republic*
2-30
<1%
2%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. G

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Cameroon
2+24
73%
93%
2
Namibia
203
7%
28%
3
Comoros*
2-13
19%
68%
4
Congo*
2-11
<1%
10%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. H

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
UgandaHost*
2+14
47%
100%
2
Botswana
202
12%
21%
3
Tunisia
202
35%
64%
4
Libya*
2-11
6%
15%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. I

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Algeria
2+24
80%
96%
2
Zambia
203
14%
66%
3
Togo*
2-13
4%
23%
4
Burundi*
2-11
2%
15%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. J

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Mozambique
2+34
13%
79%
2
Senegal*
2+14
84%
98%
3
Sudan*
2-23
3%
20%
4
Ethiopia
2-20
<1%
3%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. K

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Rwanda
2+36
26%
91%
2
Mali*
2+36
73%
98%
3
Cape Verde
2-30
<1%
9%
4
Liberia*
2-30
<1%
2%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Grp. L

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying table. Ranked by points, then head-to-head, then goal-difference, then goals-for, then disciplinary, then drawn-lots.
#TeamQualify
1
Guinea-Bissau
2+56
58%
59%
2
Nigeria*
2-23
34%
35%
3
Madagascar*
2-11
6%
6%
4
TanzaniaHost
2-21
3%
100%
Qualify for AFCON 2027Eliminated

* Level on points — separated by the tiebreaker shown on hover.

Group and qualification chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining group fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.

Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania qualify automatically as hosts; in their groups only the best-placed other team goes through. Qualification is decided within each group, and the chances above are simulated that way.

How the season has movedZambia +24
Position by matchweekSOTGUNMORIVOGAMRWAMAIDRCEGYMOZALGCAMANGBENUGABURSENMAUZIMZAMGABGUINAMMALNIGCOMTOGEQUSUDNIEBOTTUNBUUMADLIBCONKENTANERISIEETHCAPCENSOMLESLIEGHASOU

Hover a line to follow one club. Position is recomputed after every completed matchweek using this competition’s own tiebreakers.

First place is at the top. Line colour is the zone each club sits in now — the same bands as the table — because twenty clubs cannot have twenty legible colours. A matchweek appears only once every fixture in it has been played.

Show data
Position by matchweek
ClubNowBestWorstMoved
South Africa1114+13
Guinea-Bissau226+4
Morocco337+4
Ivory Coast449+5
Gambia5512+7
Rwanda626-4
Mali717-6
DR Congo8880
Egypt9929+20
Mozambique101024+14
Algeria11311-8
Cameroon12412-8
Angola131330+17
Benin141421+7
Uganda151523+8
Burkina Faso161626+10
Senegal171727+10
Mauritania18518-13
Zimbabwe191019-9
Zambia202044+24
Gabon212145+24
Guinea222236+14
Namibia231623-7
Malawi241324-11
Niger251125-14
Comoros262640+14
Togo271827-9
Equatorial Guinea282848+20
Sudan291729-12
Nigeria301530-15
Botswana311931-12
Tunisia322832-4
Burundi333338+5
Madagascar343435+1
Libya352035-15
Congo363639+3
Kenya372237-15
Tanzania383847+9
Eritrea392539-14
Sierra Leone403140-9
Ethiopia413741-4
Cape Verde424243+1
Central African Republic434143-2
Somalia443244-12
Lesotho453445-11
Liberia464246-4
Ghana474647-1
South Sudan483348-15
Storylines4This one is going the distanceProjection — and 3 more, grouped by what they decide.
What this competition carries0 of 9 data types

Every competition here carries a table, fixtures, results and the model built on them. The nine below are the extras that feeds differ on — and where a section is missing that you saw on another league, this is usually why.

Not published

  • Expected goalsChance quality, from the provider’s model
  • Shot locationsWhere each attempt was taken
  • Player statisticsPer-player aggregates
  • Line-upsWho started, who came on
  • FormationsStarting shape
  • MomentumPressure through the match
  • ManagersWho is in charge
  • Market valuesSquad valuation
  • Market pricesBookmaker odds for comparison

Computed here rather than measured: fieldTilt, isBigChance. These are derived from what the feed supplies and are marked as estimates wherever they appear.

Source: FotMob.