Bundesliga · 2026/2027
Ask a questionProjection
This one is going the distance
Freiburg (9) from Borussia Dortmund (9) with 31 matchweeks left. The model gives Freiburg 1%.
What is being decided1 · Level on the relegation line
The title, the European places, and the fight at the bottom.
Running hot, and living on luck1 · Elversberg are 6th in their first season up
Runs worth naming, and the clubs whose results have drifted from their underlying numbers.
Games that move the table3 · M'gladbach v Paderborn
The fixtures the model expects to change something.
Key fixture
M'gladbach v Paderborn
17th against 15th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
BMG42%Draw30%PAD28%Key fixture
Paderborn v Hamburger SV
15th against 18th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
PAD42%Draw30%HAM28%Key fixture
M'gladbach v Hoffenheim
17th against 13th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
BMG29%Draw27%HOF44%
The people who decide it3 · Younes Ebnoutalib
Players in form, and the dugouts under pressure.
Player
Younes Ebnoutalib
3 goals and 1 assist for Frankfurt, 1.9 involvements per 90. Over the last 24 of 27 matches.
Goals3Assists1Per 901.9Player
Patrik Schick
2 goals and 1 assist for Leverkusen, 1.7 involvements per 90. Over the last 24 of 27 matches.
Goals2Assists1Per 901.7Player
Tidiam Gomis
1 goal and 2 assists for RB Leipzig, 1.6 involvements per 90. Over the last 24 of 27 matches.
Goals1Assists2Per 901.6
These are assembled, not written. Every sentence is built from numbers in the loaded season — the metrics under each story are the ones it was derived from — so a claim here can be checked rather than trusted. Nothing on this page is generated prose.