Scottish Premiership · 2026/2027
Ask a questionSurvival
Level on the relegation line
St. Johnstone sit 7th on 7, with Dundee FC the first side above the line on 7. The model puts St. Johnstone down 61% of the time.
What is being decided1 · Celtic lead by 5
The title, the European places, and the fight at the bottom.
Running hot, and living on luck2 · Celtic have won 5 of their last 5
Runs worth naming, and the clubs whose results have drifted from their underlying numbers.
Games that move the table3 · Motherwell v Hearts
The fixtures the model expects to change something.
Key fixture
Motherwell v Hearts
5th against 3rd — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
MOT36%Draw25%HEA38%Key fixture
Dundee FC v Motherwell
6th against 5th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
DUN42%Draw26%MOT33%Key fixture
St. Johnstone v Motherwell
7th against 5th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
STJ42%Draw25%MOT33%
The people who decide it3 · Camilo Durán
Players in form, and the dugouts under pressure.
Player
Camilo Durán
3 goals and 2 assists for Celtic, 1.8 involvements per 90. Over the last 23 of 36 matches.
Goals3Assists2Per 901.8Player
Lawrence Shankland
3 goals and 0 assists for Rangers, 1.5 involvements per 90. Over the last 23 of 36 matches.
Goals3Assists0Per 901.5Player
Joshua McPake
1 goal and 4 assists for Hearts, 1.3 involvements per 90. Over the last 23 of 36 matches.
Goals1Assists4Per 901.3
These are assembled, not written. Every sentence is built from numbers in the loaded season — the metrics under each story are the ones it was derived from — so a claim here can be checked rather than trusted. Nothing on this page is generated prose.