Swiss Super League · 2026/2027
Ask a questionSurvival
Level on the relegation line
FC Zürich sit 7th on 10, with St. Gallen the first side above the line on 10. The model puts FC Zürich down 69% of the time.
What is being decided1 · A 4-point cushion at the top
The title, the European places, and the fight at the bottom.
Running hot, and living on luck3 · Lugano are 9.0 points ahead of their xG
Runs worth naming, and the clubs whose results have drifted from their underlying numbers.
Overperforming
Lugano are 9.0 points ahead of their xG
22 points from an expected 13.0. That gap is finishing and fine margins rather than chance creation, and it is the kind of lead that historically shrinks rather than holds.
Points22Expected13.0xG for13.4Form
Lugano have won 4 of their last 5
1st on 22 points, and the run has taken them there.
FormW W W D WPosition1stForm
Sion have won 4 of their last 5
2nd on 18 points, and the run has taken them there.
FormL W W W WPosition2nd
Games that move the table3 · FC Zürich v St. Gallen
The fixtures the model expects to change something.
Key fixture
FC Zürich v St. Gallen
7th against 6th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
FCZ37%Draw28%STG34%Key fixture
Servette v Sion
5th against 2nd — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
SER33%Draw29%SIO37%Key fixture
Basel v St. Gallen
4th against 6th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
BAS39%Draw29%STG32%
The people who decide it3 · Lutfi Dalipi
Players in form, and the dugouts under pressure.
Player
Lutfi Dalipi
2 goals and 5 assists for FC Vaduz, 1.8 involvements per 90. Over the last 26 of 48 matches.
Goals2Assists5Per 901.8Player
Winsley Boteli
3 goals and 3 assists for Sion, 1.5 involvements per 90. Over the last 26 of 48 matches.
Goals3Assists3Per 901.5Player
Furkan Dursun
1 goal and 3 assists for Thun, 1.5 involvements per 90. Over the last 26 of 48 matches.
Goals1Assists3Per 901.5
These are assembled, not written. Every sentence is built from numbers in the loaded season — the metrics under each story are the ones it was derived from — so a claim here can be checked rather than trusted. Nothing on this page is generated prose.