Bundesliga · Matchweek 13
Hamburger SV
HAM
Schalke 04
SCH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hamburger SV36%
Draw29%
Schalke 0435%
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.23
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–010.7%
- 0–110.4%
- 0–09.6%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hamburger SV will have the ball; Schalke 04 will not mind.
45%Possession34%
33%Territory28%
20%From set plays25%
0.08Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hamburger SV, 3 for Schalke 04. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 27 matches, not the full season.