Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Hamburger SV
HAM
Borussia Mönchengladbach
BMG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hamburger SV33%
Draw30%
M'gladbach37%
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.20
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
48%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 0–112.0%
- 0–011.3%
- 1–011.1%
- 1–27.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Hamburger SV get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
40%Possession40%
32%Territory26%
46%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.12
7.5%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Hamburger SV, 3 for M'gladbach. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hamburger SV
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 72 matches, not the full season.