Liga Nacional · 2026/2027 - Apertura
Ask a questionProjection
This one is going the distance
CD Olimpia (29) from Real España (27) with 4 matchweeks left. The model gives CD Olimpia 83%.
What is being decided2 · 2 points between Juticalpa and safety
The title, the European places, and the fight at the bottom.
Survival
2 points between Juticalpa and safety
Juticalpa sit 12th on 6, with Platense FC the first side above the line on 8. The model puts Juticalpa down 75% of the time.
Gap to safety2Games left4Relegation risk75%Projection
1 point decides the last European place
Estrella Roja hold 6th on 16; Lobos UPNFM are 7th on 15.
Estrella Roja16Lobos UPNFM15Games left4
Running hot, and living on luck2 · CD Olimpia have won 5 of their last 5
Runs worth naming, and the clubs whose results have drifted from their underlying numbers.
Games that move the table3 · Platense FC v CD Choloma
The fixtures the model expects to change something.
Key fixture
Platense FC v CD Choloma
11th against 8th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
PLA31%Draw27%CDC42%Key fixture
Platense FC v Genesis FC
11th against 9th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
PLA29%Draw26%GEN46%Key fixture
Atletico Independiente v Platense FC
10th against 11th — the sort of game that moves the gap by two results, not one.
ATL48%Draw25%PLA27%
These are assembled, not written. Every sentence is built from numbers in the loaded season — the metrics under each story are the ones it was derived from — so a claim here can be checked rather than trusted. Nothing on this page is generated prose.