Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
Basel
BAS
Servette
SER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel38%
Draw30%
Servette32%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.12
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.9%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–110.5%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Servette get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession48%
40%Territory38%
7%From set plays35%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.7%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Basel, 5 for Servette.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.