Swiss Super League · Matchweek 16
Basel
BAS
Servette
SER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Basel33%
Draw34%
Servette33%
Expected goals
0.99 – 0.98
Over 2.5
32%
Both to score
41%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–015.7%
- 1–113.7%
- 1–013.6%
- 0–113.6%
- 2–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
61%Possession48%
50%Territory34%
40%From set plays33%
0.06Chance quality0.08
4.1%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Basel, 2 for Servette. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.