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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Swiss Super League · Matchweek 15

Grasshopper

GRA

Basel

BAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Grasshopper44%
Draw27%
Basel29%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.24

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 1–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Grasshopper get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession49%
46%Territory40%
26%From set plays7%
0.15Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 5 for Grasshopper, 4 for Basel.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.