Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17
Luzern
LUZ
Servette
SER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern31%
Draw29%
Servette40%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.33
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–09.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–28.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession48%
39%Territory34%
31%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Luzern, 2 for Servette. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 12 of 72 matches, not the full season.