Swiss Super League · Matchweek 17
Luzern
LUZ
Servette
SER
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Luzern39%
Draw29%
Servette32%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.17
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–09.7%
- 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession48%
37%Territory38%
34%From set plays35%
0.13Chance quality0.12
7.6%Directness6.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Luzern, 5 for Servette.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Luzern
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 48 matches, not the full season.