Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 19
St. Mirren
STM
Falkirk
FAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
St. Mirren38%
Draw28%
Falkirk34%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.29
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
St. Mirren will have the ball; Falkirk will not mind.
50%Possession41%
30%Territory28%
28%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.3%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for St. Mirren, 4 for Falkirk.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.