Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 14
Kilmarnock
KIL
Aberdeen
ABE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kilmarnock37%
Draw25%
Aberdeen38%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.60
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.3%
- 2–18.2%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kilmarnock will have the ball; Aberdeen will not mind.
54%Possession45%
37%Territory36%
26%From set plays33%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kilmarnock, 3 for Aberdeen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.