Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
Dundee United
DUD
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United48%
Draw24%
Motherwell29%
Expected goals
1.88 – 1.45
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–26.8%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Motherwell will have the ball; Dundee United will not mind.
46%Possession64%
33%Territory40%
48%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for Motherwell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 36 matches, not the full season.