Scottish Premiership · Matchweek 13
Dundee United
DUD
Motherwell
MOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Dundee United35%
Draw27%
Motherwell38%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.45
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.8%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
47%Possession50%
36%Territory33%
29%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.4%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Dundee United, 4 for Motherwell. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 69 matches, not the full season.