Ligue 1 · 2015/2016
Ask a questionSettled
Paris Saint-Germain are champions
Paris Saint-Germain finish on 93 points, 28 clear of Lyon.
What is being decided1 · 4 points between Toulouse and safety
The title, the European places, and the fight at the bottom.
Running hot, and living on luck4 · Bastia are 12.4 points ahead of their xG
Runs worth naming, and the clubs whose results have drifted from their underlying numbers.
Overperforming
Bastia are 12.4 points ahead of their xG
50 points from an expected 37.6. That gap is finishing and fine margins rather than chance creation, and it is the kind of lead that historically shrinks rather than holds.
Points50Expected37.6xG for26.9Underperforming
Toulouse are 19.9 points short of their xG
40 points from an expected 59.9. The chances are being created; they are not being taken. On the same underlying numbers this is the profile that tends to improve.
Points40Expected59.9xG for50.9Form
Paris Saint-Germain have won 4 of their last 5
1st on 93 points, and the run has taken them there.
FormW W W D WPosition1stForm
Rennes have lost 4 of their last 5
8th on 52, and falling.
FormL D L L LPosition8th
The people who decide it4 · Zlatan Ibrahimović
Players in form, and the dugouts under pressure.
Player
Zlatan Ibrahimović
36 goals and 13 assists for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.8 involvements per 90. Ahead of their expected goals by 13.3.
Goals36Assists13Per 901.8Player
Ángel Di María
10 goals and 17 assists for Paris Saint-Germain, 1.2 involvements per 90. Ahead of their expected goals by 4.4.
Goals10Assists17Per 901.2Player
Edinson Cavani
19 goals and 5 assists for Paris Saint-Germain, 0.9 involvements per 90.
Goals19Assists5Per 900.9Dugout
Pascal Dupraz is 19.9 points short of the performances
Toulouse sit 17th on 40, where the underlying numbers argue for 59.9. That gap usually closes; it is not a prediction about anyone's job.
Points40Expected59.9
These are assembled, not written. Every sentence is built from numbers in the loaded season — the metrics under each story are the ones it was derived from — so a claim here can be checked rather than trusted. Nothing on this page is generated prose.