- Aaron Collins 29'
- Christopher Conn-Clarke 85'
England · League One
Position
21
RELPlayed
6
Points
5
1W 2D 3L
Goal difference
-6
4 scored, 10 against
Expected goals
8.1
9.1 against
Points vs expectedest.
-2.6
7.6 expected
Form
From 8,000 simulated seasons.
Win the leagueest.
<1%
Top fourest.
1.7%
European placeest.
0.0%
Relegationest.
19.5%
Projected pointsest.
59
likely 48–69
Projected finishest.
15th
range 8–22
Power rating
1488
#13 in the division
Attack / defenceest.
71 / 72
75 is league average
18 players from 4 countries.
| Player | Nationality | Minutes | G | A | Share of goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GK | |||||
| 1Alex Bass | England | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| DF | |||||
| 33James Dornelly | England | 270 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 12Josh Feeney | England | 270 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 26David Okagbue | Ireland | 256 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 14Harley Mills | England | 219 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 3Evan Weir | Ireland | 51 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 6Thomas O'Connor | Ireland | 14 | 0 | 0 | — |
| MF | |||||
| 4Liam Kelly | Ireland | 223 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 7Harrison Jones | England | 216 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 16Ben Woods | England | 161 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| 8Brandon Khela | England | 124 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 45Harry Ashfield | Wales | 54 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 20Christopher Conn-Clarke | Northern Ireland | 32 | 1 | 0 | 50% |
| FW | |||||
| 9Harry Leonard | England | 264 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 19Boluwatife Shofowoke | England | 213 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 10Ethan Williams | England | 153 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 11Owura Edwards | England | 114 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 27Danny Ormerod | England | 66 | 0 | 0 | — |
Ordered by minutes within each position, so the first-choice side sits at the top. Share of goals is measured against this squad’s 2 in the same matches these minutes come from — never against the league table, whose season is longer than the window player data covers. That window is 40 of 72 matches.
First place is at the top. A change of division breaks the line, because 8th in one is not 8th in another.
| Season | Competition | Pos | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/2027 | League One | 21 of 24 | 5 |
| 2025/2026 | League One | 18 of 24 | 53 |
| 2024/2025 | League One | 18 of 24 | 51 |
| 2023/2024 | League One | 4 of 24 | 84 |
| 2022/2023 | League One | 6 of 24 | 77 |
| 2021/2022 | Championship | 22 of 24 | 37 |
| 2020/2021 | League One | 2 of 24 | 87 |
| 2019/2020 | League One | 7 of 23 | 59 |
| 2018/2019 | League One | 7 of 24 | 72 |
| 2017/2018 | League One | 9 of 24 | 64 |
| 2016/2017 | League One | 11 of 24 | 62 |
| 2015/2016 | League One | 13 of 24 | 63 |
| 2014/2015 | League One | 9 of 24 | 63 |
| 2013/2014 | League One | 6 of 24 | 74 |
| 2012/2013 | Championship | 22 of 24 | 54 |
| 2011/2012 | Championship | 18 of 24 | 50 |
| 2010/2011 | League One | 4 of 24 | 79 |
2024/2025 · 2023/2024 · 2013/2014
| Season | Manager | W–D–L | Pts / game |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026/2027 | Luke WilliamsLeague One | 1–2–3 | 0.83 |
| 2025/2026 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 3–1–9 | 0.77 |
| 2025/2026 | Luke WilliamsLeague One | 12–7–14 | 1.30 |
| 2024/2025 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 13–12–21 | 1.11 |
| 2023/2024 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 25–9–12 | 1.83 |
| 2022/2023 | Grant McCannLeague One | 11–2–11 | 1.46 |
| 2022/2023 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 13–3–6 | 1.91 |
| 2021/2022 | Darren FergusonChampionship | 5–6–20 | 0.68 |
| 2021/2022 | Matthew EtheringtonChampionship | 0–0–1 | 0.00 |
| 2021/2022 | Grant McCannChampionship | 4–4–6 | 1.14 |
| 2020/2021 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 26–9–11 | 1.89 |
| 2019/2020 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 17–8–10 | 1.69 |
| 2018/2019 | Steve EvansLeague One | 13–9–7 | 1.66 |
| 2018/2019 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 7–3–7 | 1.41 |
| 2017/2018 | Grant McCannLeague One | 12–11–10 | 1.42 |
| 2017/2018 | Steve EvansLeague One | 4–2–6 | 1.17 |
| 2016/2017 | Grant McCannLeague One | 17–11–18 | 1.35 |
| 2015/2016 | Grant McCannLeague One | 18–5–17 | 1.48 |
| 2014/2015 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 12–5–15 | 1.28 |
| 2013/2014 | Darren FergusonLeague One | 23–5–18 | 1.61 |
| 2012/2013 | Darren FergusonChampionship | 15–9–22 | 1.17 |
One row per season, which is the grain the source supplies — a manager who stayed four years appears four times. Points per game is what makes spells of different lengths comparable.
Results
Every shot taken, filterable by situation, body part and outcome.
Marker area is expected-goal value. Filled markers are goals; a heavier outline is a big chance (our threshold, not the provider’s).
| xG | Body | Situation | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.47 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.38 | head | open play | goal |
| 0.33 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.28 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.27 | right foot | open play | saved |
| 0.18 | right foot | set piece | off target |
| 0.16 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.16 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.12 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.10 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.10 | head | corner | off target |
| 0.10 | left foot | corner | blocked |
| 0.09 | head | open play | off target |
| 0.07 | right foot | open play | post |
| 0.07 | right foot | free kick | blocked |
| 0.07 | head | set piece | blocked |
| 0.06 | right foot | open play | post |
| 0.06 | head | open play | off target |
| 0.06 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.06 | right foot | open play | saved |
| 0.06 | left foot | open play | saved |
| 0.05 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.05 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.05 | left foot | open play | off target |
| 0.05 | right foot | corner | blocked |
| 0.05 | right foot | free kick | off target |
| 0.05 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.05 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.04 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.04 | head | set piece | off target |
| 0.04 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.04 | right foot | corner | blocked |
| 0.03 | right foot | corner | blocked |
| 0.03 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.03 | right foot | corner | goal |
| 0.03 | right foot | set piece | off target |
| 0.03 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.03 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.03 | right foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.03 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.02 | right foot | corner | off target |
| 0.02 | right foot | open play | off target |
| 0.02 | right foot | set piece | blocked |
| 0.02 | left foot | open play | blocked |
| 0.01 | right foot | open play | saved |
| # | Club | Pl | GD | Pts | Title | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 6 | -5 | 7 | Recent form, oldest first: D, W, W, L, L | <1% | 25% | |
| 19 | 7 | -2 | 6 | Recent form, oldest first: D, L, D, D, D | <1% | 27% | |
| 20 | 6 | -4 | 6 | Recent form, oldest first: D, L, L, D, W | <1% | 8% | |
| 21 | 6 | -6 | 5 | Recent form, oldest first: W, L, D, L, D | <1% | 19% | |
| 22 | 6 | -11 | 5 | Recent form, oldest first: D, L, L, L, D | 0% | 82% | |
| 23 | 6 | -6 | 4 | Recent form, oldest first: L, L, W, L, D | <1% | 24% | |
| 24 | 6 | -3 | 3 | Recent form, oldest first: D, D, D, L, L | <1% | 7% |
European places are provisional: they shift with domestic cup winners and UEFA coefficient spots.
Title and relegation chances are Monte Carlo estimates over the remaining fixturesest. A shown 0% means it did not occur in 8,000 simulated seasons — not that it is impossible.