League One · Matchweek 10
Leicester City
LEI
Peterborough United
PET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Leicester34%
Draw27%
Peterborough39%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.45
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.5%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession60%
31%Territory35%
27%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.09
2.6%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leicester, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.