League One · Matchweek 16
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Peterborough United
PET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Plymouth54%
Draw24%
Peterborough22%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.10
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession60%
33%Territory37%
42%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.07
8.7%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Plymouth, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.