League One · Matchweek 16
Plymouth Argyle
PLY
Peterborough United
PET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Plymouth52%
Draw24%
Peterborough24%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.21
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Peterborough will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.
39%Possession60%
44%Territory35%
31%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.09
9.0%Directness3.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Plymouth, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.