League One · Matchweek 11
Peterborough United
PET
Burton Albion
BUR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Peterborough42%
Draw28%
Burton30%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.20
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 0–08.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Peterborough will have the ball; Burton will not mind.
60%Possession47%
35%Territory34%
22%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 3 for Burton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.