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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 18

Leyton Orient

LEY

Peterborough United

PET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient53%
Draw23%
Peterborough23%

Expected goals

1.91 – 1.23

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Peterborough will have the ball; Leyton Orient will not mind.

52%Possession60%
28%Territory37%
40%From set plays35%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.