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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 18

Leyton Orient

LEY

Peterborough United

PET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient43%
Draw27%
Peterborough31%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.27

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.0%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession60%
34%Territory35%
38%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.