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League One · Matchweek 12

Huddersfield Town

HUD

Peterborough United

PET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Huddersfield56%
Draw24%
Peterborough20%

Expected goals

1.82 – 1.03

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1011.1%
  • 1110.9%
  • 219.9%
  • 209.4%
  • 006.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession60%
36%Territory35%
33%From set plays22%
0.12Chance quality0.09
4.9%Directness3.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Huddersfield, 3 for Peterborough. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.