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League One · Matchweek 17

Peterborough United

PET

Cambridge United

CAM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Peterborough39%
Draw26%
Cambridge35%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.47

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 1–28.0%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Peterborough will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.

60%Possession50%
37%Territory38%
35%From set plays49%
0.07Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 4 for Cambridge. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.