League One · Matchweek 17
Peterborough United
PET
Cambridge United
CAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Peterborough49%
Draw26%
Cambridge25%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.17
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.9%
- 0–16.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Peterborough will have the ball; Cambridge will not mind.
60%Possession44%
35%Territory35%
22%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness7.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 4 for Cambridge. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.