League One · Matchweek 9
Peterborough United
PET
Notts County
NOT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Peterborough41%
Draw27%
Notts County32%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.28
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Peterborough will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.
60%Possession39%
37%Territory38%
35%From set plays14%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.