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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

League One · Matchweek 9

Peterborough United

PET

Notts County

NOT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Peterborough46%
Draw28%
Notts County26%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.07

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.9%
  • 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Peterborough will have the ball; Notts County will not mind.

60%Possession44%
35%Territory29%
22%From set plays35%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 3 for Notts County. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.