League One · Matchweek 19
Peterborough United
PET
Barnsley
BAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Peterborough51%
Draw24%
Barnsley25%
Expected goals
1.82 – 1.24
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.6%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Peterborough will have the ball; Barnsley will not mind.
60%Possession42%
37%Territory33%
36%From set plays21%
0.07Chance quality0.08
4.9%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Peterborough, 3 for Barnsley. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Peterborough
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 35 of 155 matches, not the full season.