2. Bundesliga · Matchweek 9
Bochum
BOC
Wolfsburg
WOL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Bochum47%
Draw27%
Wolfsburg27%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.15
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession56%
37%Territory35%
26%From set plays31%
0.09Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness5.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Bochum, 3 for Wolfsburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.