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League One · Matchweek 9

Leyton Orient

LEY

Plymouth Argyle

PLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Leyton Orient35%
Draw26%
Plymouth39%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.52

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 128.5%
  • 018.3%
  • 218.0%
  • 107.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Leyton Orient will have the ball; Plymouth will not mind.

54%Possession39%
34%Territory44%
38%From set plays31%
0.08Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness9.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Leyton Orient, 3 for Plymouth. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 40 of 72 matches, not the full season.