Premier League · Matchweek 17
Fulham
FUL
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham32%
Draw25%
Brighton42%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.67
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–17.8%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Fulham will not mind.
56%Possession70%
39%Territory44%
22%From set plays29%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.