Premier League · Matchweek 17
Fulham
FUL
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Fulham33%
Draw29%
Brighton38%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.31
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Fulham will have the ball; Brighton will not mind.
65%Possession53%
39%Territory35%
25%From set plays40%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Fulham, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 89 matches, not the full season.