Premier League · Matchweek 8
Liverpool
LIV
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Liverpool42%
Draw25%
Brighton33%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.46
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.6%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Liverpool will not mind.
60%Possession70%
50%Territory44%
16%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.4%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Liverpool, 3 for Brighton. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.