Premier League · Matchweek 7
Brighton & Hove Albion
BHA
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brighton59%
Draw21%
Crystal Palace20%
Expected goals
2.22 – 1.26
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 1–18.8%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Brighton will have the ball; Crystal Palace will not mind.
70%Possession37%
44%Territory30%
29%From set plays11%
0.11Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brighton, 3 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brighton
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 26 of 40 matches, not the full season.