Superligaen · Matchweek 12
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Lyngby
LYN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Midtjylland51%
Draw24%
Lyngby25%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.25
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–07.5%
- 1–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Midtjylland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession47%
40%Territory49%
50%From set plays18%
0.12Chance quality0.15
9.5%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Lyngby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.