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Superligaen · Matchweek 11

Lyngby

LYN

Nordsjælland

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lyngby36%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland38%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.55

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 128.4%
  • 218.2%
  • 017.7%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

47%Possession51%
49%Territory31%
18%From set plays9%
0.15Chance quality0.14
5.5%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyngby, 4 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nordsjælland

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.