Allsvenskan · Matchweek 29
AIK
AIK
Degerfors
DEG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AIK62%
Draw21%
Degerfors17%
Expected goals
2.11 – 1.05
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.4%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Degerfors get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession51%
35%Territory38%
16%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AIK, 4 for Degerfors. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 30 of 213 matches, not the full season.