Liga MX · Matchweek 15
Cruz Azul
CRU
León
LEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Cruz Azul44%
Draw26%
León30%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.28
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruz Azul get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession50%
42%Territory40%
28%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness5.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Cruz Azul, 3 for León. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.