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Liga MX · Matchweek 14

Querétaro FC

QUE

Cruz Azul

CRU

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Querétaro40%
Draw26%
Cruz Azul33%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.37

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 108.9%
  • 218.7%
  • 017.8%
  • 127.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

39%Possession53%
43%Territory42%
3%From set plays28%
0.14Chance quality0.10
10.1%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Querétaro, 3 for Cruz Azul. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.