Liga MX · Matchweek 13
Pachuca
PAC
Cruz Azul
CRU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Pachuca40%
Draw27%
Cruz Azul33%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.33
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Cruz Azul will have the ball; Pachuca will not mind.
45%Possession53%
37%Territory42%
28%From set plays28%
0.07Chance quality0.10
7.8%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Pachuca, 3 for Cruz Azul. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.