Liga MX · Matchweek 7
CF América
CFA
Tijuana
TIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
América38%
Draw27%
Tijuana35%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.38
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
55%Possession60%
47%Territory36%
37%From set plays35%
0.06Chance quality0.17
7.2%Directness9.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for América, 2 for Tijuana. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
América
Tijuana
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 23 of 70 matches, not the full season.