Süper Lig · Matchweek 24
Trabzonspor
TRA
Samsunspor
SAM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor73%
Draw16%
Samsunspor11%
Expected goals
2.56 – 0.94
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–08.3%
- 3–08.2%
- 3–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession46%
35%Territory35%
10%From set plays21%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Samsunspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.