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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Süper Lig · Matchweek 23

Galatasaray

GAL

Trabzonspor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Galatasaray53%
Draw23%
Trabzonspor24%

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.28

Over 2.5

62%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 2–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Galatasaray will have the ball; Trabzonspor will not mind.

62%Possession49%
43%Territory35%
22%From set plays10%
0.13Chance quality0.15
7.0%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Galatasaray, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.