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Süper Lig · Matchweek 22

Trabzonspor

TRA

Konyaspor

KON

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Trabzonspor67%
Draw19%
Konyaspor13%

Expected goals

2.21 – 0.91

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-1.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.8%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–18.8%
  • 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession49%
35%Territory35%
10%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness9.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.