Süper Lig · Matchweek 22
Trabzonspor
TRA
Konyaspor
KON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor67%
Draw19%
Konyaspor13%
Expected goals
2.21 – 0.91
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.8%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–18.8%
- 3–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession49%
35%Territory35%
10%From set plays18%
0.15Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness9.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Konyaspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.