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Süper Lig · Matchweek 21

Gençlerbirliği

GEN

Trabzonspor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Gençlerbirliği24%
Draw25%
Trabzonspor51%

Expected goals

1.11 – 1.70

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 0110.8%
  • 129.7%
  • 028.4%
  • 006.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Trabzonspor will have the ball; Gençlerbirliği will not mind.

46%Possession60%
41%Territory40%
43%From set plays27%
0.06Chance quality0.11
9.1%Directness6.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Gençlerbirliği, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.