Süper Lig · Matchweek 20
Trabzonspor
TRA
Amed Sportif
AME
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor48%
Draw25%
Amed Sportif28%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.34
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–08.4%
- 2–06.8%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession53%
35%Territory43%
10%From set plays12%
0.15Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Amed Sportif. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.