Süper Lig · Matchweek 19
Başakşehir
BAA
Trabzonspor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Başakşehir36%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor38%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.58
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.1%
- 0–17.5%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Başakşehir get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession49%
33%Territory35%
30%From set plays10%
0.12Chance quality0.15
6.8%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Başakşehir, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.