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Süper Lig · Matchweek 18

Trabzonspor

TRA

Kasımpaşa

KAS

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Trabzonspor53%
Draw26%
Kasımpaşa21%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.00

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1012.2%
  • 1111.6%
  • 219.7%
  • 209.4%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Trabzonspor will have the ball; Kasımpaşa will not mind.

60%Possession46%
40%Territory28%
27%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.