Süper Lig · Matchweek 18
Trabzonspor
TRA
Kasımpaşa
KAS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor56%
Draw25%
Kasımpaşa19%
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.91
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.9%
- 1–111.3%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kasımpaşa get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession47%
35%Territory28%
10%From set plays26%
0.15Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Kasımpaşa. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.