Süper Lig · Matchweek 17
Erzurumspor FK
ERZ
Trabzonspor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Erzurumspor FK21%
Draw25%
Trabzonspor54%
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.76
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.2%
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.2%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Trabzonspor will have the ball; Erzurumspor FK will not mind.
38%Possession60%
32%Territory40%
36%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.11
8.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Erzurumspor FK, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.