Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Trabzonspor
TRA
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor52%
Draw28%
Kocaelispor20%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.84
Over 2.5
40%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.1%
- 1–112.3%
- 0–011.1%
- 2–010.3%
- 2–19.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kocaelispor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
49%Possession54%
35%Territory34%
10%From set plays42%
0.15Chance quality0.09
6.8%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kocaelispor
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.