Süper Lig · Matchweek 16
Trabzonspor
TRA
Kocaelispor
KOC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor52%
Draw27%
Kocaelispor20%
Expected goals
1.53 – 0.88
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.1%
- 2–010.1%
- 0–010.0%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Trabzonspor will have the ball; Kocaelispor will not mind.
60%Possession47%
40%Territory38%
27%From set plays14%
0.11Chance quality0.10
6.2%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Kocaelispor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.