Süper Lig · Matchweek 14
Trabzonspor
TRA
Çorum FK
ORU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor63%
Draw22%
Çorum FK16%
Expected goals
2.01 – 0.93
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.2%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.8%
- 3–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession54%
35%Territory38%
10%From set plays20%
0.15Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Çorum FK. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.