Süper Lig · Matchweek 11
Alanyaspor
ALA
Trabzonspor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Alanyaspor33%
Draw28%
Trabzonspor40%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.43
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Trabzonspor will have the ball; Alanyaspor will not mind.
46%Possession60%
37%Territory40%
31%From set plays27%
0.14Chance quality0.11
7.9%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.