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Süper Lig · Matchweek 11

Alanyaspor

ALA

Trabzonspor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Alanyaspor18%
Draw23%
Trabzonspor60%

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.95

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–110.9%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 1–210.0%
  • 0–210.0%
  • 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Alanyaspor get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession49%
30%Territory35%
38%From set plays10%
0.07Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Alanyaspor, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Alanyaspor

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 90 matches, not the full season.