Süper Lig · Matchweek 8
Trabzonspor
TRA
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor31%
Draw26%
Beşiktaş43%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.63
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession58%
40%Territory43%
27%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.13
6.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.