Süper Lig · Matchweek 7
Samsunspor
SAM
Trabzonspor
TRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Samsunspor31%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor43%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.59
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession60%
40%Territory40%
21%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Samsunspor, 3 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.