Süper Lig · Matchweek 6
Trabzonspor
TRA
Galatasaray
GAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Trabzonspor29%
Draw24%
Galatasaray46%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.82
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
60%Possession60%
40%Territory45%
27%From set plays32%
0.11Chance quality0.11
6.2%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Trabzonspor, 3 for Galatasaray. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 27 of 45 matches, not the full season.